Two-dimensional forest fires with boundary ignitions

In the classical Drossel-Schwabl forest fire process, vertices of a lattice become occupied at rate 1, and they are hit by lightning at some tiny rate, which causes entire connected components to burn. In this paper, we study a variant where fires are coming from the boundary of the forest instead. In particular we prove for every positive (including) that, for the forest fire process without recoveries on an box in the triangular lattice, where each point on the boundary of the box has ignition rate, the probability that the center of the box gets burnt tends to 0 as (but substantially slower than the one-arm probability of critical Bernoulli percolation). And, for the case where the forest is the upper-half plane, we show (still for the version without recoveries) that no infinite occupied cluster emerges. We also discuss analogs of some of these results for the corresponding models with recoveries, and explain how our results and proofs give valuable insight on a process considered earlier by Graf (Electron J Probab 19:8, 2014), (Electron Commun Probab 21:39, 2016).

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techReport Two-dimensional forest fires with boundary ignitions J. van den Berg (Rob) and P. Nolin (Pierre)