We study worst-case-growth-rate-optimal (GROW) e -statistics for hypothesis testing between two group models. It is known that under a mild condition on the action of the underlying group G on the data, there exists a maximally invariant statistic. We show that among all e -statistics, invariant or not, the likelihood ratio of the maximally invariant statistic is GROW, both in the absolute and in the relative sense, and that an anytime-valid test can be based on it. The GROW e -statistic is equal to a Bayes factor with a right Haar prior on G. Our treatment avoids nonuniqueness issues that sometimes arise for such priors in Bayesian contexts. A crucial assumption on the group G is its amenability, a well-known group-theoretical condition, which holds, for instance, in scale-location families. Our results also apply to finite-dimensional linear regression.

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doi.org/10.1214/24-AOS2394
Annals of Statistics
Safe Bayesian Inference: A Theory of Misspecification based on Statistical Learning
Machine Learning

Pérez, M., Lardy, T., de Heide, R., & Grünwald, P. (2024). E-statistics, group invariance and anytime-valid testing. Annals of Statistics, 52(4), 1410–1432. doi:10.1214/24-AOS2394