Multiresolution approximation for volatility processes

We present an application of wavelet techniques to non-stationary time series with the aim of detecting the dependence structure which is typically found to characterize intraday stock index financial returns. It is particularly important to identify what components truly belong to the underlying volatility process, compared with those features appearing instead as a result of the presence of disturbance processes. The latter may yield misleading inference results when standard financial time series models are adopted. There is no universal agreement on whether long memory really affects financial series, or instead whether it could be that non-stationarity, once detected and accounted for, may allow for more power in detecting the dependence structure and thus suggest more reliable models. Wavelets are still a novel tool in the domain of applications in finance; thus, one goal is to try to show their potential use for signal decomposition and approximation of time-frequency signals. This might suggest a better interpretation of multi-scaling and aggregation effects in high-frequency returns. We show, by using special dictionaries of functions and ad hoc algorithms, that a pre-processing procedure for stock index returns leads to a more accurate identification of dependent and non-stationary features, whose detection results are improved compared with those obtained by other traditional Fourier-based methods. This allows generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic models to be more effective for statistical estimation purposes.

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